Zuffa Boxing 9: Francis vs. Sosa (Catchweight, Prelims)
Francis probability
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Francis" if Dominique Francis is officially declared the winner of the fight against Andres Sosa at Zuffa Boxing 9: Berlanga vs. Butler, scheduled for July 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Sosa" if Andres Sosa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Community4
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Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
What do you mean by depth here?
What do you mean by depth here?
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.