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LiveResolves in 98 days

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes probability

7-day history
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Volume
$973.6K
Liquidity
$553.9K
24h Volume
$3.5K
Ends
Oct 31, 2026

About this market

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Community4

Comments are local to your session.

  • Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    • Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

      Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

    • What do you mean by depth here?

      What do you mean by depth here?

  • Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    • Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

      Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

  • The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.

    The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.