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LiveResolves in 14 days

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes probability

7-day history
Low 7%Now 24%High 26%

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Odds

Tap an outcome to open your betslip. Demo betting with a virtual $1,000 balance — odds are derived from the live feed (decimal odds = potential return per $1 staked).

Volume
$971
Liquidity
$1.2K
24h Volume
$1.7
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Community4

Comments are local to your session.

  • Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    • Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

      Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

    • What do you mean by depth here?

      What do you mean by depth here?

  • Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    • Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

      Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

  • The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.

    The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.