Will Ingrid Daubechies win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?
Yes probability
7-day historyPlace a bet
OddsTap an outcome to open your betslip. Demo betting with a virtual $1,000 balance — odds are derived from the live feed (decimal odds = potential return per $1 staked).
About this market
The Nobel Prize in Physics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is scheduled to be announced on October 6, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Community4
Comments are local to your session.
Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
What do you mean by depth here?
What do you mean by depth here?
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.