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LiveResolves in 159 days

Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

Yes probability

7-day history
Low 16%Now 20%High 43%

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Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$11K
24h Volume
$577
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

About this market

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Passings" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Community4

Comments are local to your session.

  • Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.

    • Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

      Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.

    • What do you mean by depth here?

      What do you mean by depth here?

  • Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.

    • Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

      Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.

  • The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.

    The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.