Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player
Yes probability
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About this market
This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Liquidity looks healthy here — the spread tightened over the last day and depth on both sides is holding up. I added on the dip and I'm comfortable carrying this into resolution unless the volume profile changes materially.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
Agreed, the order book is unusually balanced for this category.
What do you mean by depth here?
What do you mean by depth here?
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Volume spike lines up with the latest headlines. Historically these moves mean-revert within a few sessions, so I'm fading the momentum and sizing small. Watching the 24h figure closely.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
Brave. I'm on the other side of this one.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.
The crowd's been directionally right on similar markets this quarter, but the tails are underpriced. I like a small position on the longshot outcome as a hedge.